Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000124 0.000131 0.000140 0.000149 0.000160 0.000172
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000114 0.000125 0.000139 0.000154 0.000172 0.000195
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000109 0.000122 0.000139 0.000160 0.000185 0.000220
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000106 0.000122 0.000142 0.000168 0.000201 0.000250
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000100 0.000117 0.000138 0.000168 0.000207 0.000266
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000094 0.000111 0.000133 0.000164 0.000206 0.000273
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000090 0.000107 0.000130 0.000162 0.000208 0.000284
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000084 0.000101 0.000123 0.000156 0.000203 0.000283
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000083 0.000100 0.000124 0.000160 0.000213 0.000307
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000082 0.000100 0.000127 0.000166 0.000227 0.000341
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000082 0.000100 0.000128 0.000171 0.000240 0.000377
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000082 0.000102 0.000133 0.000181 0.000263 0.000436
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000080 0.000100 0.000132 0.000182 0.000271 0.000469
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000078 0.000098 0.000130 0.000182 0.000277 0.000500
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000076 0.000097 0.000130 0.000186 0.000291 0.000556
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000076 0.000097 0.000132 0.000193 0.000313 0.000642
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000073 0.000095 0.000129 0.000191 0.000314 0.000672
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000070 0.000091 0.000125 0.000186 0.000308 0.000672
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000068 0.000088 0.000121 0.000182 0.000306 0.000687
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000065 0.000084 0.000116 0.000174 0.000293 0.000660
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000064 0.000084 0.000117 0.000178 0.000307 0.000740
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000064 0.000084 0.000119 0.000184 0.000330 0.000867
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000063 0.000084 0.000120 0.000190 0.000351 0.001011